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Happer to condense and complete that discussion for the benefit of WUWT readers.

The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for November 2016 is 0.45 deg. C (click for full size version): The global, hemispheric, and tropical LT anomalies from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 23 months are: YEAR MO GLOBE NHEM. TROPICS 2015 01 0.30 0.44 0.15 0.13 2015 02 0.19 0.34 0.04 -0.07 2015 03 0.18 0.28 0.07 0.04 2015 04 0.09 0.19 -0.01 0.08 2015 05 0.27 0.34 0.20 0.27 2015 06 0.31 0.38 0.25 0.46 2015 07 0.16 0.29 0.03 0.48 2015 08 0.25 0.20 0.30 0.53 2015 09 0.23 0.30 0.16 0.55 2015 10 0.41 0.63 0.20 0.53 2015 11 0.33 0.44 0.22 0.52 2015 12 0.45 0.53 0.37 0.61 2016 01 0.54 0.69 0.39 0.84 2016 02 0.83 1.17 0.50 0.99 2016 03 0.73 0.94 0.52 1.09 2016 04 0.71 0.85 0.58 0.94 2016 05 0.55 0.65 0.44 0.72 2016 06 0.34 0.51 0.17 0.38 2016 07 0.39 0.48 0.30 0.48 2016 08 0.43 0.55 0.32 0.49 2016 09 0.44 0.49 0.39 0.37 2016 10 0.41 0.42 0.39 0.46 2016 11 0.45 0.41 0.50 0.37 To see how we are now progressing toward a record warm year in the satellite data, the following chart shows the average rate of cooling for the rest of 2016 that would be required to tie 1998 as warmest year in the 38-year satellite record: Based upon this chart, it now seems virtually impossible for 2016 to not be a record warm year in the UAH dataset.Graph source: scenarios and projections – Anthony Guest post by Dr.William Happer For any rational discussion of the effects of CO2 on climate, numbers are important.The number 3 C comes from various positive feedback mechanisms from water vapor and clouds that were invented to make the effects of more CO2 look more frightening.

But observations suggest that the feedbacks are small and may even be negative. (3) we find that the CO2 concentration needed to raise the temperature by ∆T = 6 C is (5) This amount of CO2 would be more than a warming hazard. The US upper limit for long term exposure for people in submarines or space craft is about 5000 ppm CO2 (at atmospheric pressure). William Happer is the Cyrus Fogg Brackett Professor of Physics at Princeton University, and a long-term member of the JASON advisory group,where he pioneered the development of adaptive optics.Other corrections must be made to account for the proportion of throughout the biosphere (reservoir effects).Additional complications come from the burning of fossil fuels such as coal and oil, and from the above-ground nuclear tests done in the 1950s and 1960s.But in articles like “Scant Gains Made on CO2 Emissions, Energy Agency Says” by Sarah Kent in the Wall Street Journal on April 18, 2013, we see a graph with a 6 C temperature rise by 2050 – if we don’t reduce “carbon intensity.” Indeed, a 6 C temperature rise may well be cause for concern.